SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Nico Ferrand v Cameron Moss (Wed 04 Feb 2015)

Match won by Nico Ferrand. Result: 12-15,15-9,15-12,17-15.

Starting level for Nico Ferrand: 643, level confidence: 51%.
Starting level for Cameron Moss: 569, level confidence: 83%. Set manually.
Nico Ferrand to win as he is currently playing 13% better than Cameron Moss.

Nico Ferrand won 75% of the games and 54% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 16% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Nico Ferrand played 22% better than Cameron Moss in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Nico Ferrand actually played at a level of 668 and Cameron Moss at a level of 548. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 3.9% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Nico Ferrand changes to +3.6% and Cameron Moss changes to -2.2%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Nico Ferrand becomes +3.3% and for Cameron Moss becomes -2.2%.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'West Scotland League 2014/2015' so the adjustment for Nico Ferrand is +2.5% and for Cameron Moss is -1.6%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Nico Ferrand: 71%, Cameron Moss: 91%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Nico Ferrand: 69%, Cameron Moss: 88%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Nico Ferrand: 658, level confidence: 69%.
Final level for Cameron Moss: 559, level confidence: 88%.