SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Matt Delaney v Mike Richards (Thu 04 Feb 2010)

Match won by Matt Delaney. Result: 12-15,15-9,15-13,15-10.

Starting level for Matt Delaney: 2,169, level confidence: 63%.
Starting level for Mike Richards: 1,932, level confidence: 69%.
Matt Delaney to win as he is currently playing 12% better than Mike Richards.

Matt Delaney won 75% of the games and 55% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 21% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Matt Delaney played 24% better than Mike Richards in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Matt Delaney actually played at a level of 2,277 and Mike Richards at a level of 1,840. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 5% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Matt Delaney changes to +4.7% and Mike Richards changes to -4.3%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Matt Delaney becomes +2.9% and for Mike Richards becomes -2.9%.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Hertfordshire League 2009/2010' so the adjustment for Matt Delaney is +2.2% and for Mike Richards is -2.1%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Matt Delaney: 79%, Mike Richards: 83%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Matt Delaney: 76%, Mike Richards: 79%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Matt Delaney: 2,212, level confidence: 76%.
Final level for Mike Richards: 1,889, level confidence: 79%.