SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Jan Brynjolffssen v Martin Miller (Tue 15 May 2012)

Match won by Jan Brynjolffssen. Result: 15-7,15-13,15-6.

Starting level for Jan Brynjolffssen: 1,756, level confidence: 78%. Set manually.
Starting level for Martin Miller: 606, level confidence: 77%. Set manually.
Jan Brynjolffssen to win as he is currently playing 190% better than Martin Miller.

Jan Brynjolffssen won all of the games and 63% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 73% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Jan Brynjolffssen played 73% better than Martin Miller in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Jan Brynjolffssen was taking it easy by anything up to 23%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 942 and 1,756 without affecting his level.

In this case, Jan Brynjolffssen played at level 1,189 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. On the assumption that Jan Brynjolffssen would normally have been playing at level 1,347 (based on typical behaviour), Martin Miller played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 13%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0% and 7.6% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Jan Brynjolffssen changes to 0% and Martin Miller changes to +7.6%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Jan Brynjolffssen becomes 0% and for Martin Miller becomes +5.3%.

Apply match/event weighting of 65% for 'Hertfordshire Summer League 2012' so the adjustment for Jan Brynjolffssen is 0% and for Martin Miller is +3.4%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Jan Brynjolffssen: 88%, Martin Miller: 88%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Jan Brynjolffssen: 68%, Martin Miller: 68%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Jan Brynjolffssen: 1,753, level confidence: 68%.
Final level for Martin Miller: 626, level confidence: 68%.