SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Karl Pyle v Tom Hannah (Tue 15 May 2012)

Match won by Karl Pyle. Result: 15-13,9-15,7-15,15-12,15-12.

Starting level for Karl Pyle: 1,799, level confidence: 61%.
Starting level for Tom Hannah: 1,660, level confidence: 70%.
Karl Pyle to win as he is currently playing 8% better than Tom Hannah.

Karl Pyle won 60% of the games and 48% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 10%.
This points result would be expected if he was worse by around 10% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Karl Pyle played 5% better than Tom Hannah in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Karl Pyle actually played at a level of 1,773 and Tom Hannah at a level of 1,684. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 1.5% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Karl Pyle changes to -1.4% and Tom Hannah changes to +1.2%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Karl Pyle becomes -1.1% and for Tom Hannah becomes +1%.

Apply match/event weighting of 65% for 'Hertfordshire Summer League 2012' so the adjustment for Karl Pyle is -0.7% and for Tom Hannah is +0.7%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Karl Pyle: 78%, Tom Hannah: 84%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Karl Pyle: 77%, Tom Hannah: 82%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Karl Pyle: 1,783, level confidence: 77%.
Final level for Tom Hannah: 1,668, level confidence: 82%.