SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Richard Batchelor v Tim Oram (Tue 15 May 2012)

Match won by Richard Batchelor. Result: 17-15,17-15,15-12.

Starting level for Richard Batchelor: 1,274, level confidence: 69%.
Starting level for Tim Oram: 1,370, level confidence: 64%.
Tim Oram to win as he is currently playing 8% better than Richard Batchelor.

Richard Batchelor won all of the games and 54% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 17% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Richard Batchelor played 29% better than Tim Oram in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Richard Batchelor actually played at a level of 1,502 and Tim Oram at a level of 1,162. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 18% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Richard Batchelor changes to +16% and Tim Oram changes to -17%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Richard Batchelor becomes +8.3% and for Tim Oram becomes -8.7%.

Apply match/event weighting of 65% for 'Hertfordshire Summer League 2012' so the adjustment for Richard Batchelor is +5.4% and for Tim Oram is -5.5%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Richard Batchelor: 83%, Tim Oram: 80%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Richard Batchelor: 70%, Tim Oram: 68%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Richard Batchelor: 1,341, level confidence: 70%.
Final level for Tim Oram: 1,303, level confidence: 68%.