SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Karen Robins v Rebecca Williams (Mon 01 Mar 2010)

Match won by Rebecca Williams. Result: 2-15,7-15,8-15.

Starting level for Karen Robins: 170, level confidence: 77%. Set manually.
Starting level for Rebecca Williams: 288, level confidence: 64%.
Rebecca Williams to win as he is currently playing 69% better than Karen Robins.

Rebecca Williams won all of the games and 73% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 165% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Rebecca Williams played 165% better than Karen Robins in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Rebecca Williams actually played at a level of 360 and Karen Robins at a level of 136. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 25% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 19% and 19% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Rebecca Williams changes to +19% and Karen Robins changes to -15%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Rebecca Williams becomes +10.6% and for Karen Robins becomes -8.9%.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Hertfordshire League 2009/2010' so the adjustment for Rebecca Williams is +7.9% and for Karen Robins is -6.5%.

Apply limits to the amount of change for a single match which are based on player level, level confidence and time since last match so that Karen Robins is limited to -5.8% level change. In general a player's level won't go up by more than 10% or drop more than 5% if they've played in the last 7 days but those limits are relaxed if their previous match was further back.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Rebecca Williams: 80%, Karen Robins: 88%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Rebecca Williams: 64%, Karen Robins: 70%.

A final adjustment of -0.5% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Karen Robins: 160, level confidence: 70%.
Final level for Rebecca Williams: 310, level confidence: 64%.