SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Keith Ragg v Tony Revell (Tue 02 Mar 2010)

Match won by Keith Ragg. Result: 15-11,15-11,8-15,15-13.

Starting level for Keith Ragg: 1,167, level confidence: 75%. Set manually.
Starting level for Tony Revell: 859, level confidence: 73%. Set manually.
Keith Ragg to win as he is currently playing 36% better than Tony Revell.

Keith Ragg won 75% of the games and 51% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 6% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Keith Ragg played 19% better than Tony Revell in this match.

As Keith Ragg has played below his allowed range at 1,055, his level reduction is 3.4% before damping. On the assumption that Keith Ragg would normally have been playing at level 1,132 (based on typical behaviour), Tony Revell played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 5.4%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 2.9% and 4.6% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Keith Ragg changes to -2.8% and Tony Revell changes to +4.6%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Keith Ragg becomes -2.7% and for Tony Revell becomes +3.8%.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Hertfordshire League 2009/2010' so the adjustment for Keith Ragg is -2% and for Tony Revell is +2.8%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Keith Ragg: 86%, Tony Revell: 85%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Keith Ragg: 81%, Tony Revell: 80%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Keith Ragg: 1,143, level confidence: 81%.
Final level for Tony Revell: 882, level confidence: 80%.