SquashLevels calculations
Rob Twilley v Chris Lynam (Wed 03 Mar 2010)
Match won by Chris Lynam. Result: 9-15,12-15,8-15.
Starting level for
Rob Twilley:
1,201, level confidence: 74%. Set manually.
Starting level for
Chris Lynam:
1,917, level confidence: 55%.
Chris Lynam to win as he is currently playing
60% better than Rob Twilley.
Chris Lynam won all of the games and 61% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 55% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Chris Lynam played
55% better than Rob Twilley in this match.
In this case, Chris Lynam played at level 1,863 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Rob Twilley is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Chris Lynam: 74%, Rob Twilley: 86%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Chris Lynam: 73%, Rob Twilley: 85%.
A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Rob Twilley:
1,199, level confidence: 85%.
Final level for Chris Lynam:
1,914, level confidence: 73%.