SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Ian Collin v Graeme Beveridge (Thu 04 Mar 2010)

Match won by Graeme Beveridge. Result: 6-15,10-15,14-16.

Starting level for Ian Collin: 2,064, level confidence: 73%. Set manually.
Starting level for Graeme Beveridge: 2,800, level confidence: 67%.
Graeme Beveridge to win as he is currently playing 36% better than Ian Collin.

Graeme Beveridge won all of the games and 61% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 53% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Graeme Beveridge played 54% better than Ian Collin in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Graeme Beveridge actually played at a level of 2,982 and Ian Collin at a level of 1,938. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 6.5% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 5.6% and 5.6% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Graeme Beveridge changes to +5.6% and Ian Collin changes to -5.1%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Graeme Beveridge becomes +2.9% and for Ian Collin becomes -3.1%.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Hertfordshire League 2009/2010' so the adjustment for Graeme Beveridge is +2.2% and for Ian Collin is -2.3%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Graeme Beveridge: 82%, Ian Collin: 85%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Graeme Beveridge: 77%, Ian Collin: 80%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Ian Collin: 2,014, level confidence: 80%.
Final level for Graeme Beveridge: 2,857, level confidence: 77%.