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Nev Rimes v Robin McCorquodale (Wed 13 Jun 2012)

Match won by Nev Rimes. Result: 15-10,15-10,15-13.

Starting level for Nev Rimes: 1,832, level confidence: 68%.
Starting level for Robin McCorquodale: 2,084, level confidence: 76%. Set manually.
Robin McCorquodale to win as he is currently playing 14% better than Nev Rimes.

Nev Rimes won all of the games and 58% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 36% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Nev Rimes played 43% better than Robin McCorquodale in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Nev Rimes actually played at a level of 2,333 and Robin McCorquodale at a level of 1,637. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 27% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Nev Rimes changes to +25% and Robin McCorquodale changes to -22%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Nev Rimes becomes +10.7% and for Robin McCorquodale becomes -9.2%.

Apply match/event weighting of 65% for 'Hertfordshire Summer League 2012' so the adjustment for Nev Rimes is +6.9% and for Robin McCorquodale is -5.8%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Nev Rimes: 83%, Robin McCorquodale: 87%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Nev Rimes: 65%, Robin McCorquodale: 69%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Nev Rimes: 1,956, level confidence: 65%.
Final level for Robin McCorquodale: 1,967, level confidence: 69%.