SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Emma Booth v Hilary Birt (Mon 15 Mar 2010)

Match won by Hilary Birt. Result: 15-7,12-15,15-11,13-15,11-15.

Starting level for Emma Booth: 143, level confidence: 61%.
Starting level for Hilary Birt: 188, level confidence: 75%. Set manually.
Hilary Birt to win as she is currently playing 31% better than Emma Booth.

Hilary Birt won 60% of the games and 49% of the points.
This games result would be expected if she was better by around 10%.
This points result would be expected if she was worse by around 5% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Hilary Birt played 6% better than Emma Booth in this match.

As Hilary Birt has played below her allowed range at 165, her level reduction is 8.2% before damping. On the assumption that Hilary Birt would normally have been playing at level 183 (based on typical behaviour), Emma Booth played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 9.8%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 7.1% and 8.5% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Hilary Birt changes to -5.7% and Emma Booth changes to +8.5%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Hilary Birt becomes -4.4% and for Emma Booth becomes +5.7%.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Hertfordshire League 2009/2010' so the adjustment for Hilary Birt is -3.3% and for Emma Booth is +4.3%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Hilary Birt: 86%, Emma Booth: 78%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Hilary Birt: 78%, Emma Booth: 70%.

Final level for Emma Booth: 149, level confidence: 70%.
Final level for Hilary Birt: 182, level confidence: 78%.