SquashLevels calculations
Tony Revell v Milind Chohan (Tue 17 Jul 2012)
Match won by Milind Chohan. Result: 10-15,10-15,14-16.
Starting level for
Tony Revell:
884, level confidence: 53%.
Starting level for
Milind Chohan:
1,271, level confidence: 10%.
Milind Chohan to win as he is currently playing
44% better than Tony Revell.
Milind Chohan won all of the games and 58% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 35% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Milind Chohan played
42% better than Tony Revell in this match.
In this case, Milind Chohan played at level 1,253 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Tony Revell is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Milind Chohan: 32%, Tony Revell: 73%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Milind Chohan: 31%, Tony Revell: 72%.
A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Tony Revell:
883, level confidence: 72%.
Final level for Milind Chohan:
1,269, level confidence: 31%.