SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Richard Batchelor v Mark Dunn (Tue 12 Oct 2010)

Match won by Mark Dunn. Result: 11-15,8-15,9-15.

Starting level for Richard Batchelor: 1,165, level confidence: 55%.
Starting level for Mark Dunn: 1,260, level confidence: 64%.
Mark Dunn to win as he is currently playing 8% better than Richard Batchelor.

Mark Dunn won all of the games and 62% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 61% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Mark Dunn played 61% better than Richard Batchelor in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Mark Dunn actually played at a level of 1,536 and Richard Batchelor at a level of 956. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 22% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Mark Dunn changes to +18% and Richard Batchelor changes to -21%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Mark Dunn becomes +9.3% and for Richard Batchelor becomes -10.9%.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Hertfordshire League 2010/2011' so the adjustment for Mark Dunn is +7% and for Richard Batchelor is -8%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Mark Dunn: 80%, Richard Batchelor: 74%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Mark Dunn: 65%, Richard Batchelor: 61%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Richard Batchelor: 1,077, level confidence: 61%.
Final level for Mark Dunn: 1,346, level confidence: 65%.