SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Dave Cooper v Jeff Hobden (Tue 07 Aug 2012)

Match won by Dave Cooper. Result: 15-9,15-9,5-15,2-15,15-13.

Starting level for Dave Cooper: 1,491, level confidence: 58%.
Starting level for Jeff Hobden: 1,803, level confidence: 67%.
Jeff Hobden to win as he is currently playing 21% better than Dave Cooper.

Dave Cooper won 60% of the games and 46% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 10%.
This points result would be expected if he was worse by around 17% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Dave Cooper played 4% better than Jeff Hobden in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Dave Cooper actually played at a level of 1,671 and Jeff Hobden at a level of 1,609. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 12% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Dave Cooper changes to +10.9% and Jeff Hobden changes to -9.2%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Dave Cooper becomes +5.8% and for Jeff Hobden becomes -4.8%.

Apply match/event weighting of 65% for 'Hertfordshire Summer League 2012' so the adjustment for Dave Cooper is +3.8% and for Jeff Hobden is -3.1%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Dave Cooper: 76%, Jeff Hobden: 82%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Dave Cooper: 68%, Jeff Hobden: 73%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Dave Cooper: 1,545, level confidence: 68%.
Final level for Jeff Hobden: 1,746, level confidence: 73%.