SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Steven Malduca v John Kerley (Tue 02 Nov 2010)

Match won by John Kerley. Result: 15-5,13-15,11-15,15-17.

Starting level for Steven Malduca: 1,425, level confidence: 66%.
Starting level for John Kerley: 1,334, level confidence: 65%.
Steven Malduca to win as he is currently playing 7% better than John Kerley.

John Kerley won 75% of the games and 49% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was worse by around 4% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that John Kerley played 16% better than Steven Malduca in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like John Kerley actually played at a level of 1,482 and Steven Malduca at a level of 1,283. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 11.1% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for John Kerley changes to +10.7% and Steven Malduca changes to -10.6%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for John Kerley becomes +6% and for Steven Malduca becomes -5.8%.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Hertfordshire League 2010/2011' so the adjustment for John Kerley is +4.5% and for Steven Malduca is -4.3%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. John Kerley: 81%, Steven Malduca: 81%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. John Kerley: 73%, Steven Malduca: 73%.

A final adjustment of +0.9% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Steven Malduca: 1,393, level confidence: 73%.
Final level for John Kerley: 1,392, level confidence: 73%.