SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

James Cooper v Chris Patten (Wed 29 Aug 2012)

Match won by Chris Patten. Result: 10-15,15-9,15-7,5-15,5-15.

Starting level for James Cooper: 1,263, level confidence: 80%. Set manually.
Starting level for Chris Patten: 1,940, level confidence: 75%. Set manually.
Chris Patten to win as he is currently playing 54% better than James Cooper.

Chris Patten won 60% of the games and 55% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 10%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 22% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Chris Patten played 13% better than James Cooper in this match.

As Chris Patten has played below his allowed range at 1,561, his level reduction is 9.3% before damping. On the assumption that Chris Patten would normally have been playing at level 1,837 (based on typical behaviour), James Cooper played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 13%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 7.5% and 10.7% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Chris Patten changes to -7.5% and James Cooper changes to +10.1%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Chris Patten becomes -4.1% and for James Cooper becomes +5.9%.

Apply match/event weighting of 65% for 'Hertfordshire Summer League 2012' so the adjustment for Chris Patten is -2.6% and for James Cooper is +3.8%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Chris Patten: 87%, James Cooper: 89%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Chris Patten: 74%, James Cooper: 77%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for James Cooper: 1,309, level confidence: 77%.
Final level for Chris Patten: 1,888, level confidence: 74%.