SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Mark Oppen v Alan Cook (Tue 30 Apr 2013)

Match won by Mark Oppen. Result: 15-12,15-11,15-9.

Starting level for Mark Oppen: 1,656, level confidence: 71%. Set manually.
Starting level for Alan Cook: 1,823, level confidence: 62%.
Alan Cook to win as he is currently playing 10% better than Mark Oppen.

Mark Oppen won all of the games and 58% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 41% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Mark Oppen played 45% better than Alan Cook in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Mark Oppen actually played at a level of 2,095 and Alan Cook at a level of 1,441. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 27% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Mark Oppen changes to +22% and Alan Cook changes to -25%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Mark Oppen becomes +9.9% and for Alan Cook becomes -10.6%.

Apply match/event weighting of 65% for 'Hertfordshire Summer League 2013' so the adjustment for Mark Oppen is +6.4% and for Alan Cook is -6.7%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Mark Oppen: 84%, Alan Cook: 79%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Mark Oppen: 66%, Alan Cook: 62%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Mark Oppen: 1,760, level confidence: 66%.
Final level for Alan Cook: 1,707, level confidence: 62%.