SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Matt McGill v Andrew Humphries (Wed 01 May 2013)

Match won by Andrew Humphries. Result: 10-15,15-7,10-15,5-15.

Starting level for Matt McGill: 1,479, level confidence: 55%.
Starting level for Andrew Humphries: 1,814, level confidence: 71%. Set manually.
Andrew Humphries to win as he is currently playing 23% better than Matt McGill.

Andrew Humphries won 75% of the games and 57% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 30% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Andrew Humphries played 27% better than Matt McGill in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Andrew Humphries actually played at a level of 1,843 and Matt McGill at a level of 1,455. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 1.6% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Andrew Humphries changes to +1.1% and Matt McGill changes to -1.5%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Andrew Humphries becomes +0.9% and for Matt McGill becomes -1.2%.

Apply match/event weighting of 65% for 'Hertfordshire Summer League 2013' so the adjustment for Andrew Humphries is +0.6% and for Matt McGill is -0.8%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Andrew Humphries: 84%, Matt McGill: 74%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Andrew Humphries: 83%, Matt McGill: 73%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Matt McGill: 1,465, level confidence: 73%.
Final level for Andrew Humphries: 1,822, level confidence: 83%.