SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Gareth Jones v Chris Hunt (Wed 15 May 2013)

Match won by Gareth Jones. Result: 15-6,15-9,15-9.

Starting level for Gareth Jones: 1,231, level confidence: 72%. Set manually.
Starting level for Chris Hunt: 1,246, level confidence: 20%.
Chris Hunt to win as he is currently playing 1% better than Gareth Jones.

Gareth Jones won all of the games and 65% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 88% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Gareth Jones played 88% better than Chris Hunt in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Gareth Jones actually played at a level of 1,696 and Chris Hunt at a level of 904. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 38% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Gareth Jones changes to +10.2% and Chris Hunt changes to -37%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Gareth Jones becomes +6% and for Chris Hunt becomes -17%.

Apply match/event weighting of 65% for 'Hertfordshire Summer League 2013' so the adjustment for Gareth Jones is +3.9% and for Chris Hunt is -10.6%.

Apply limits to the amount of change for a single match which are based on player level, level confidence and time since last match so that Chris Hunt is limited to -10% level change. In general a player's level won't go up by more than 10% or drop more than 5% if they've played in the last 7 days but those limits are relaxed if their previous match was further back.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Gareth Jones: 85%, Chris Hunt: 44%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Gareth Jones: 62%, Chris Hunt: 32%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Gareth Jones: 1,277, level confidence: 62%.
Final level for Chris Hunt: 1,131, level confidence: 32%.