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Pierre Germishuizen v John Donald (Thu 18 Nov 2010)

Match won by John Donald. Result: 9-15,12-15,7-15.

Starting level for Pierre Germishuizen: 802, level confidence: 65%.
Starting level for John Donald: 1,399, level confidence: 75%. Set manually.
John Donald to win as he is currently playing 74% better than Pierre Germishuizen.

John Donald won all of the games and 62% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 61% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that John Donald played 61% better than Pierre Germishuizen in this match.

In this case, John Donald played at level 1,289 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Pierre Germishuizen is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. John Donald: 86%, Pierre Germishuizen: 81%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. John Donald: 83%, Pierre Germishuizen: 77%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Pierre Germishuizen: 801, level confidence: 77%.
Final level for John Donald: 1,397, level confidence: 83%.