SquashLevels calculations
Martin Harding v Steve Hambling (Tue 23 Nov 2010)
Match won by Martin Harding. Result: 15-13,15-6,15-13.
Starting level for
Martin Harding:
2,359, level confidence: 63%.
Starting level for
Steve Hambling:
1,568, level confidence: 82%. Set manually.
Martin Harding to win as he is currently playing
50% better than Steve Hambling.
Martin Harding won all of the games and 58% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 41% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Martin Harding played
45% better than Steve Hambling in this match.
In this case, Martin Harding played at level 2,279 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Steve Hambling is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Martin Harding: 79%, Steve Hambling: 90%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Martin Harding: 78%, Steve Hambling: 89%.
A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Martin Harding:
2,355, level confidence: 78%.
Final level for Steve Hambling:
1,566, level confidence: 89%.