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Grant Kleiner v Nev Rimes (Wed 26 Jun 2013)

Match won by Nev Rimes. Result: 12-15,15-13,7-15,15-13,7-15.

Starting level for Grant Kleiner: 1,535, level confidence: 86%. Set manually.
Starting level for Nev Rimes: 1,487, level confidence: 84%. Set manually.
Grant Kleiner to win as he is currently playing 3% better than Nev Rimes.

Nev Rimes won 60% of the games and 56% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 10%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 27% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Nev Rimes played 14% better than Grant Kleiner in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Nev Rimes actually played at a level of 1,614 and Grant Kleiner at a level of 1,414. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 8.6% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Nev Rimes changes to +8.4% and Grant Kleiner changes to -8.2%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Nev Rimes becomes +4.8% and for Grant Kleiner becomes -4.7%.

Apply match/event weighting of 65% for 'Hertfordshire Summer League 2013' so the adjustment for Nev Rimes is +3.1% and for Grant Kleiner is -3%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Nev Rimes: 91%, Grant Kleiner: 93%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Nev Rimes: 84%, Grant Kleiner: 85%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Grant Kleiner: 1,488, level confidence: 85%.
Final level for Nev Rimes: 1,531, level confidence: 84%.