SquashLevels calculations
Chris Ginn v Paul Hunt (Wed 08 Dec 2010)
Match won by Paul Hunt. Result: 6-15,12-15,13-15.
Starting level for
Chris Ginn:
1,270, level confidence: 63%.
Starting level for
Paul Hunt:
1,997, level confidence: 69%.
Paul Hunt to win as he is currently playing
57% better than Chris Ginn.
Paul Hunt won all of the games and 59% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 45% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Paul Hunt played
48% better than Chris Ginn in this match.
In this case, Paul Hunt played at level 1,885 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Chris Ginn is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Paul Hunt: 83%, Chris Ginn: 79%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Paul Hunt: 81%, Chris Ginn: 77%.
A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Chris Ginn:
1,268, level confidence: 77%.
Final level for Paul Hunt:
1,994, level confidence: 81%.