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Matt Inglis v Robert Brooks (Tue 16 Jul 2013)

Match won by Matt Inglis. Result: 15-12,12-15,15-4,15-10.

Starting level for Matt Inglis: 1,788, level confidence: 82%. Set manually.
Starting level for Robert Brooks: 1,731, level confidence: 67%.
Matt Inglis to win as he is currently playing 3% better than Robert Brooks.

Matt Inglis won 75% of the games and 58% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 39% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Matt Inglis played 30% better than Robert Brooks in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Matt Inglis actually played at a level of 2,003 and Robert Brooks at a level of 1,545. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 12% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Matt Inglis changes to +9.6% and Robert Brooks changes to -12%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Matt Inglis becomes +5% and for Robert Brooks becomes -5.9%.

Apply match/event weighting of 65% for 'Hertfordshire Summer League 2013' so the adjustment for Matt Inglis is +3.2% and for Robert Brooks is -3.8%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Matt Inglis: 90%, Robert Brooks: 82%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Matt Inglis: 81%, Robert Brooks: 73%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Matt Inglis: 1,843, level confidence: 81%.
Final level for Robert Brooks: 1,666, level confidence: 73%.