SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Martin Miller v Roger Woodfield (Tue 16 Jul 2013)

Match won by Roger Woodfield. Result: 16-14,11-15,10-15,9-15.

Starting level for Martin Miller: 784, level confidence: 74%. Set manually.
Starting level for Roger Woodfield: 1,054, level confidence: 61%.
Roger Woodfield to win as he is currently playing 34% better than Martin Miller.

Roger Woodfield won 75% of the games and 56% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 28% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Roger Woodfield played 26% better than Martin Miller in this match.

In this case, Roger Woodfield played at level 1,006 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. On the assumption that Roger Woodfield would normally have been playing at level 1,025 (based on typical behaviour), Martin Miller played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 1.8%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0% and 1.6% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Roger Woodfield changes to 0% and Martin Miller changes to +1.3%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Roger Woodfield becomes 0% and for Martin Miller becomes +1.3%.

Apply match/event weighting of 65% for 'Hertfordshire Summer League 2013' so the adjustment for Roger Woodfield is 0% and for Martin Miller is +0.8%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Roger Woodfield: 78%, Martin Miller: 86%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Roger Woodfield: 75%, Martin Miller: 83%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Martin Miller: 789, level confidence: 83%.
Final level for Roger Woodfield: 1,052, level confidence: 75%.