SquashLevels calculations
Nev Rimes v Jeff Hobden (Wed 24 Jul 2013)
Match won by Jeff Hobden. Result: 18-20,11-15,10-15.
Starting level for
Nev Rimes:
1,700, level confidence: 79%. Set manually.
Starting level for
Jeff Hobden:
2,363, level confidence: 70%. Set manually.
Jeff Hobden to win as he is currently playing
39% better than Nev Rimes.
Jeff Hobden won all of the games and 56% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 28% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Jeff Hobden played
37% better than Nev Rimes in this match.
In this case, Jeff Hobden played at level 2,330 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Nev Rimes is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Jeff Hobden: 84%, Nev Rimes: 89%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Jeff Hobden: 83%, Nev Rimes: 88%.
A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Nev Rimes:
1,697, level confidence: 88%.
Final level for Jeff Hobden:
2,359, level confidence: 83%.