SquashLevels calculations
Robert Brooks v Julian Vecchio (Tue 30 Jul 2013)
Match won by Julian Vecchio. Result: 12-15,11-15,10-15.
Starting level for
Robert Brooks:
1,666, level confidence: 69%.
Starting level for
Julian Vecchio:
2,477, level confidence: 65%.
Julian Vecchio to win as he is currently playing
49% better than Robert Brooks.
Julian Vecchio won all of the games and 58% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 36% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Julian Vecchio played
43% better than Robert Brooks in this match.
In this case, Julian Vecchio played at level 2,374 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Robert Brooks is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Julian Vecchio: 80%, Robert Brooks: 83%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Julian Vecchio: 79%, Robert Brooks: 81%.
A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Robert Brooks:
1,664, level confidence: 81%.
Final level for Julian Vecchio:
2,473, level confidence: 79%.