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Nev Rimes v Vinh Tram (Wed 07 Aug 2013)

Match won by Nev Rimes. Result: 15-13,15-6,14-16,15-13.

Starting level for Nev Rimes: 1,688, level confidence: 89%. Set manually.
Starting level for Vinh Tram: 1,391, level confidence: 83%. Set manually.
Nev Rimes to win as he is currently playing 21% better than Vinh Tram.

Nev Rimes won 75% of the games and 55% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 23% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Nev Rimes played 24% better than Vinh Tram in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Nev Rimes actually played at a level of 1,708 and Vinh Tram at a level of 1,374. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 1.2% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Nev Rimes changes to +1% and Vinh Tram changes to -1.1%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Nev Rimes becomes +0.8% and for Vinh Tram becomes -1%.

Apply match/event weighting of 65% for 'Hertfordshire Summer League 2013' so the adjustment for Nev Rimes is +0.5% and for Vinh Tram is -0.6%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Nev Rimes: 94%, Vinh Tram: 91%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Nev Rimes: 93%, Vinh Tram: 90%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Nev Rimes: 1,695, level confidence: 93%.
Final level for Vinh Tram: 1,380, level confidence: 90%.