SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Graham Higgins v Anthony Clifford (Wed 21 Aug 2013)

Match won by Graham Higgins. Result: 15-13,15-9,14-16,15-12.

Starting level for Graham Higgins: 1,281, level confidence: 75%. Set manually.
Starting level for Anthony Clifford: 1,196, level confidence: 57%.
Graham Higgins to win as he is currently playing 7% better than Anthony Clifford.

Graham Higgins won 75% of the games and 54% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 18% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Graham Higgins played 23% better than Anthony Clifford in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Graham Higgins actually played at a level of 1,371 and Anthony Clifford at a level of 1,117. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 7% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Graham Higgins changes to +5.2% and Anthony Clifford changes to -6.8%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Graham Higgins becomes +3.7% and for Anthony Clifford becomes -4.6%.

Apply match/event weighting of 65% for 'Hertfordshire Summer League 2013' so the adjustment for Graham Higgins is +2.4% and for Anthony Clifford is -2.9%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Graham Higgins: 87%, Anthony Clifford: 76%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Graham Higgins: 81%, Anthony Clifford: 71%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Graham Higgins: 1,310, level confidence: 81%.
Final level for Anthony Clifford: 1,160, level confidence: 71%.