SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Mobin Mitha v Akin Olunloyo (Tue 25 Jan 2011)

Match won by Mobin Mitha. Result: 15-13,15-10,13-15,15-8.

Starting level for Mobin Mitha: 1,734, level confidence: 79%. Set manually.
Starting level for Akin Olunloyo: 1,196, level confidence: 67%.
Mobin Mitha to win as he is currently playing 45% better than Akin Olunloyo.

Mobin Mitha won 75% of the games and 56% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 26% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Mobin Mitha played 25% better than Akin Olunloyo in this match.

As Mobin Mitha has played below his allowed range at 1,537, his level reduction is 2.5% before damping. On the assumption that Mobin Mitha would normally have been playing at level 1,662 (based on typical behaviour), Akin Olunloyo played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 5.3%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 2.1% and 4.4% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Mobin Mitha changes to -1.8% and Akin Olunloyo changes to +4.4%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Mobin Mitha becomes -1.4% and for Akin Olunloyo becomes +3.4%.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Hertfordshire League 2010/2011' so the adjustment for Mobin Mitha is -1.1% and for Akin Olunloyo is +2.6%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Mobin Mitha: 89%, Akin Olunloyo: 82%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Mobin Mitha: 83%, Akin Olunloyo: 76%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Mobin Mitha: 1,713, level confidence: 83%.
Final level for Akin Olunloyo: 1,225, level confidence: 76%.