SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Matt Bevan v Phil Power (Wed 28 May 2014)

Match won by Phil Power. Result: 17-15,15-14,9-15,14-16,12-15.

Starting level for Matt Bevan: 1,844, level confidence: 81%. Set manually.
Starting level for Phil Power: 1,677, level confidence: 68%.
Matt Bevan to win as he is currently playing 10% better than Phil Power.

Phil Power won 60% of the games and 53% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 10%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 12% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Phil Power played 10% better than Matt Bevan in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Phil Power actually played at a level of 1,848 and Matt Bevan at a level of 1,673. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 10.2% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Phil Power changes to +9.7% and Matt Bevan changes to -8.1%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Phil Power becomes +5.1% and for Matt Bevan becomes -4.4%.

Apply match/event weighting of 65% for 'Hertfordshire Summer League 2014' so the adjustment for Phil Power is +3.3% and for Matt Bevan is -2.8%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Phil Power: 83%, Matt Bevan: 90%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Phil Power: 75%, Matt Bevan: 81%.

A final adjustment of +0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Matt Bevan: 1,804, level confidence: 81%.
Final level for Phil Power: 1,730, level confidence: 75%.