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Phil Littlefair v Patrick Sockett (Tue 10 Jun 2014)

Match won by Phil Littlefair. Result: 11-15,15-9,15-8,15-5.

Starting level for Phil Littlefair: 1,343, level confidence: 62%.
Starting level for Patrick Sockett: 977, level confidence: 85%. Set manually.
Phil Littlefair to win as he is currently playing 37% better than Patrick Sockett.

Phil Littlefair won 75% of the games and 60% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 51% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Phil Littlefair played 34% better than Patrick Sockett in this match.

In this case, Phil Littlefair played at level 1,306 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Patrick Sockett is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Phil Littlefair: 79%, Patrick Sockett: 92%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Phil Littlefair: 78%, Patrick Sockett: 91%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Phil Littlefair: 1,341, level confidence: 78%.
Final level for Patrick Sockett: 976, level confidence: 91%.