SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Cesar Ramirez-Molina v Ian Taylor (Wed 18 Jun 2014)

Match won by Cesar Ramirez-Molina. Result: 15-11,17-15,12-15,6-15,15-8.

Starting level for Cesar Ramirez-Molina: 1,413, level confidence: 72%. Set manually.
Starting level for Ian Taylor: 1,343, level confidence: 66%.
Cesar Ramirez-Molina to win as he is currently playing 5% better than Ian Taylor.

Cesar Ramirez-Molina won 60% of the games and 50% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 10%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 2% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Cesar Ramirez-Molina played 8% better than Ian Taylor in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Cesar Ramirez-Molina actually played at a level of 1,431 and Ian Taylor at a level of 1,326. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 1.3% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Cesar Ramirez-Molina changes to +1.1% and Ian Taylor changes to -1.2%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Cesar Ramirez-Molina becomes +1% and for Ian Taylor becomes -1.1%.

Apply match/event weighting of 65% for 'Hertfordshire Summer League 2014' so the adjustment for Cesar Ramirez-Molina is +0.6% and for Ian Taylor is -0.7%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Cesar Ramirez-Molina: 85%, Ian Taylor: 81%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Cesar Ramirez-Molina: 84%, Ian Taylor: 80%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Cesar Ramirez-Molina: 1,420, level confidence: 84%.
Final level for Ian Taylor: 1,332, level confidence: 80%.