SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Rob Hueting v John Donald (Thu 17 Feb 2011)

Match won by John Donald. Result: 15-12,13-15,9-15,15-12,11-15.

Starting level for Rob Hueting: 1,077, level confidence: 72%. Set manually.
Starting level for John Donald: 1,254, level confidence: 73%. Set manually.
John Donald to win as he is currently playing 16% better than Rob Hueting.

John Donald won 60% of the games and 52% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 10%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 10% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that John Donald played 10% better than Rob Hueting in this match.

As John Donald has played below his allowed range at 1,210, his level reduction is 2.2% before damping. On the assumption that John Donald would normally have been playing at level 1,246 (based on typical behaviour), Rob Hueting played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 2.6%.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for John Donald changes to -2% and Rob Hueting changes to +2.4%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for John Donald becomes -1.9% and for Rob Hueting becomes +2.4%.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Hertfordshire League 2010/2011' so the adjustment for John Donald is -1.4% and for Rob Hueting is +1.8%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. John Donald: 85%, Rob Hueting: 85%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. John Donald: 83%, Rob Hueting: 83%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Rob Hueting: 1,094, level confidence: 83%.
Final level for John Donald: 1,235, level confidence: 83%.