SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Neil Baldwyn v Richard Batchelor (Tue 01 Mar 2011)

Match won by Neil Baldwyn. Result: 13-15,16-14,15-9,15-12.

Starting level for Neil Baldwyn: 1,655, level confidence: 75%. Set manually.
Starting level for Richard Batchelor: 1,414, level confidence: 65%.
Neil Baldwyn to win as he is currently playing 17% better than Richard Batchelor.

Neil Baldwyn won 75% of the games and 54% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 18% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Neil Baldwyn played 23% better than Richard Batchelor in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Neil Baldwyn actually played at a level of 1,694 and Richard Batchelor at a level of 1,381. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 2.4% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Neil Baldwyn changes to +1.9% and Richard Batchelor changes to -2.2%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Neil Baldwyn becomes +1.6% and for Richard Batchelor becomes -1.9%.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Hertfordshire League 2010/2011' so the adjustment for Neil Baldwyn is +1.2% and for Richard Batchelor is -1.4%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Neil Baldwyn: 86%, Richard Batchelor: 81%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Neil Baldwyn: 84%, Richard Batchelor: 79%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Neil Baldwyn: 1,672, level confidence: 84%.
Final level for Richard Batchelor: 1,392, level confidence: 79%.