SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Stuart Kousoulou v Paul Nanon (Tue 08 Nov 2011)

Match won by Stuart Kousoulou. Result: 15-13,15-10,15-10.

Starting level for Stuart Kousoulou: 1,830, level confidence: 64%.
Starting level for Paul Nanon: 1,941, level confidence: 73%. Set manually.
Paul Nanon to win as he is currently playing 6% better than Stuart Kousoulou.

Stuart Kousoulou won all of the games and 58% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 36% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Stuart Kousoulou played 43% better than Paul Nanon in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Stuart Kousoulou actually played at a level of 2,250 and Paul Nanon at a level of 1,579. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 23% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Stuart Kousoulou changes to +22% and Paul Nanon changes to -19%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Stuart Kousoulou becomes +9.5% and for Paul Nanon becomes -8.3%.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Hertfordshire League 2011/2012' so the adjustment for Stuart Kousoulou is +7.2% and for Paul Nanon is -6.1%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Stuart Kousoulou: 80%, Paul Nanon: 85%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Stuart Kousoulou: 65%, Paul Nanon: 69%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Stuart Kousoulou: 1,958, level confidence: 65%.
Final level for Paul Nanon: 1,827, level confidence: 69%.