SquashLevels calculations
Alison Horne v Hannah Cartlidge (Sat 07 Apr 2012)
Match won by Hannah Cartlidge. Result: 9-15,10-15,11-15.
Starting level for
Alison Horne:
362, level confidence: 58%.
Starting level for
Hannah Cartlidge:
560, level confidence: 49%.
Hannah Cartlidge to win as she is currently playing
55% better than Alison Horne.
Hannah Cartlidge won all of the games and 60% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if she was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if she was better by around 50% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Hannah Cartlidge played
52% better than Alison Horne in this match.
In this case, Hannah Cartlidge played at level 549 and remained within her allowed range so her level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Alison Horne is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Hannah Cartlidge: 70%, Alison Horne: 76%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Hannah Cartlidge: 69%, Alison Horne: 76%.
A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Alison Horne:
361, level confidence: 76%.
Final level for Hannah Cartlidge:
559, level confidence: 69%.