SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Simon Totten v Graham Evans (Tue 02 Oct 2012)

Match won by Simon Totten. Result: 15-5,15-9,15-5.

Starting level for Simon Totten: 1,745, level confidence: 65%.
Starting level for Graham Evans: 1,724, level confidence: 32%.
Simon Totten to win as he is currently playing 1% better than Graham Evans.

Simon Totten won all of the games and 70% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 137% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Simon Totten played 137% better than Graham Evans in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Simon Totten actually played at a level of 2,669 and Graham Evans at a level of 1,127. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 53% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Simon Totten changes to +26% and Graham Evans changes to -53%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Simon Totten becomes +11.1% and for Graham Evans becomes -20%.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Hertfordshire League 2012/2013' so the adjustment for Simon Totten is +8.3% and for Graham Evans is -14%.

Apply limits to the amount of change for a single match which are based on player level, level confidence and time since last match so that Graham Evans is limited to -10% level change. In general a player's level won't go up by more than 10% or drop more than 5% if they've played in the last 7 days but those limits are relaxed if their previous match was further back.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Simon Totten: 81%, Graham Evans: 57%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Simon Totten: 53%, Graham Evans: 37%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Simon Totten: 1,887, level confidence: 53%.
Final level for Graham Evans: 1,565, level confidence: 37%.