SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

James Armstrong v Robert Brooks (Tue 02 Oct 2012)

Match won by Robert Brooks. Result: 15-13,10-15,7-15,11-15.

Starting level for James Armstrong: 1,886, level confidence: 66%.
Starting level for Robert Brooks: 1,818, level confidence: 75%. Set manually.
James Armstrong to win as he is currently playing 4% better than Robert Brooks.

Robert Brooks won 75% of the games and 57% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 35% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Robert Brooks played 28% better than James Armstrong in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Robert Brooks actually played at a level of 2,097 and James Armstrong at a level of 1,635. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 15% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Robert Brooks changes to +13% and James Armstrong changes to -15%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Robert Brooks becomes +6.3% and for James Armstrong becomes -6.9%.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Hertfordshire League 2012/2013' so the adjustment for Robert Brooks is +4.8% and for James Armstrong is -5.1%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Robert Brooks: 87%, James Armstrong: 81%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Robert Brooks: 75%, James Armstrong: 71%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for James Armstrong: 1,792, level confidence: 71%.
Final level for Robert Brooks: 1,902, level confidence: 75%.