SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Charlie Johnson v Keith Timms (Thu 15 Nov 2012)

Match won by Charlie Johnson. Result: 11-3,11-3,8-11,11-9.

Starting level for Charlie Johnson: 6,470, level confidence: 65%.
Starting level for Keith Timms: 5,507, level confidence: 61%.
Charlie Johnson to win as he is currently playing 17% better than Keith Timms.

Charlie Johnson won 75% of the games and 61% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 58% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Charlie Johnson played 36% better than Keith Timms in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Charlie Johnson actually played at a level of 6,956 and Keith Timms at a level of 5,122. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 7.5% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Charlie Johnson changes to +6.4% and Keith Timms changes to -6.9%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Charlie Johnson becomes +2.6% and for Keith Timms becomes -2.8%.

Given Charlie Johnson's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 5.9% has been applied to his level change.

Given Keith Timms's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 2.2% has been applied to his level change.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Hertfordshire League 2012/2013' so the adjustment for Charlie Johnson is +1.8% and for Keith Timms is -2.1%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Charlie Johnson: 81%, Keith Timms: 78%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Charlie Johnson: 75%, Keith Timms: 72%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Charlie Johnson: 6,577, level confidence: 75%.
Final level for Keith Timms: 5,389, level confidence: 72%.