SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Andrew Humphries v Darren Matussa (Tue 04 Dec 2012)

Match won by Andrew Humphries. Result: 15-5,15-5,12-15,15-6.

Starting level for Andrew Humphries: 1,584, level confidence: 81%. Set manually.
Starting level for Darren Matussa: 1,712, level confidence: 74%. Set manually.
Darren Matussa to win as he is currently playing 8% better than Andrew Humphries.

Andrew Humphries won 75% of the games and 65% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 84% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Andrew Humphries played 44% better than Darren Matussa in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Andrew Humphries actually played at a level of 1,979 and Darren Matussa at a level of 1,370. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 25% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Andrew Humphries changes to +22% and Darren Matussa changes to -24%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Andrew Humphries becomes +9.9% and for Darren Matussa becomes -10.4%.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Hertfordshire League 2012/2013' so the adjustment for Andrew Humphries is +7.4% and for Darren Matussa is -7.6%.

Apply limits to the amount of change for a single match which are based on player level, level confidence and time since last match so that Darren Matussa is limited to -5% level change. In general a player's level won't go up by more than 10% or drop more than 5% if they've played in the last 7 days but those limits are relaxed if their previous match was further back.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Andrew Humphries: 90%, Darren Matussa: 86%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Andrew Humphries: 72%, Darren Matussa: 69%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Andrew Humphries: 1,699, level confidence: 72%.
Final level for Darren Matussa: 1,628, level confidence: 69%.