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Pete Burdett v Simon Gray (Tue 05 Feb 2013)

Match won by Pete Burdett. Result: 15-9,15-10,15-12.

Starting level for Pete Burdett: 2,939, level confidence: 80%. Set manually.
Starting level for Simon Gray: 1,972, level confidence: 75%. Set manually.
Pete Burdett to win as he is currently playing 49% better than Simon Gray.

Pete Burdett won all of the games and 59% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 45% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Pete Burdett played 48% better than Simon Gray in this match.

In this case, Pete Burdett played at level 2,927 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Simon Gray is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Pete Burdett: 90%, Simon Gray: 87%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Pete Burdett: 89%, Simon Gray: 86%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Pete Burdett: 2,935, level confidence: 89%.
Final level for Simon Gray: 1,969, level confidence: 86%.