SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Mark Rimell v Hannah Cartlidge (Thu 07 Feb 2013)

Match won by Hannah Cartlidge. Result: 12-15,8-15,10-15.

Starting level for Mark Rimell: 1,003, level confidence: 40%.
Starting level for Hannah Cartlidge: 928, level confidence: 53%.
Mark Rimell to win as he is currently playing 8% better than Hannah Cartlidge.

Hannah Cartlidge won all of the games and 60% of the points.
This games result would be expected if she was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if she was better by around 50% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Hannah Cartlidge played 52% better than Mark Rimell in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Hannah Cartlidge actually played at a level of 1,188 and Mark Rimell at a level of 783. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 28% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Hannah Cartlidge changes to +20% and Mark Rimell changes to -27%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Hannah Cartlidge becomes +11.3% and for Mark Rimell becomes -14%.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Hertfordshire League 2012/2013' so the adjustment for Hannah Cartlidge is +8.5% and for Mark Rimell is -10.4%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Hannah Cartlidge: 72%, Mark Rimell: 63%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Hannah Cartlidge: 57%, Mark Rimell: 49%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Mark Rimell: 910, level confidence: 49%.
Final level for Hannah Cartlidge: 1,005, level confidence: 57%.