SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Anthony Graham v Adam Auckland (Thu 14 Nov 2013)

Match won by Anthony Graham. Result: 11-9,11-5,11-7.

Starting level for Anthony Graham: 17,477, level confidence: 87%. Set manually.
Starting level for Adam Auckland: 19,244, level confidence: 41%.
Adam Auckland to win as he is currently playing 10% better than Anthony Graham.

Anthony Graham won all of the games and 61% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 57% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Anthony Graham played 56% better than Adam Auckland in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Anthony Graham actually played at a level of 22,938 and Adam Auckland at a level of 14,663. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 31% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Anthony Graham changes to +14% and Adam Auckland changes to -30%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Anthony Graham becomes +3.6% and for Adam Auckland becomes -6.5%.

Given Anthony Graham's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 34% has been applied to his level change.

Given Adam Auckland's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 38% has been applied to his level change. Looks like he wasn't taking the match too seriously...

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Hertfordshire League 2013/2014' so the adjustment for Anthony Graham is +2% and for Adam Auckland is -3.5%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Anthony Graham: 93%, Adam Auckland: 64%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Anthony Graham: 71%, Adam Auckland: 49%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Anthony Graham: 17,805, level confidence: 71%.
Final level for Adam Auckland: 18,573, level confidence: 49%.