SquashLevels calculations
David Gandolfo v Keeley Peacock (Wed 20 Nov 2013)
Match won by David Gandolfo. Result: 15-12,15-9,15-10.
Starting level for
David Gandolfo:
2,160, level confidence: 61%.
Starting level for
Keeley Peacock:
1,381, level confidence: 76%. Set manually.
David Gandolfo to win as he is currently playing
56% better than Keeley Peacock.
David Gandolfo won all of the games and 59% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 45% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that David Gandolfo played
48% better than Keeley Peacock in this match.
In this case, David Gandolfo played at level 2,050 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Keeley Peacock is considered to have not played better than expected and her level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. David Gandolfo: 78%, Keeley Peacock: 87%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. David Gandolfo: 76%, Keeley Peacock: 85%.
A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for David Gandolfo:
2,157, level confidence: 76%.
Final level for Keeley Peacock:
1,379, level confidence: 85%.