SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Isobel Smith v Paula Shepherd (Mon 02 Dec 2013)

Match won by Isobel Smith. Result: 15-13,15-11,15-10.

Starting level for Isobel Smith: 507, level confidence: 57%.
Starting level for Paula Shepherd: 337, level confidence: 59%.
Isobel Smith to win as she is currently playing 50% better than Paula Shepherd.

Isobel Smith won all of the games and 57% of the points.
This games result would be expected if she was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if she was better by around 32% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Isobel Smith played 40% better than Paula Shepherd in this match.

In this case, Isobel Smith played at level 477 and remained within her allowed range so her level will not be adjusted. On the assumption that Isobel Smith would normally have been playing at level 482 (based on typical behaviour), Paula Shepherd played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 1.2%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0% and 0.9% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Isobel Smith changes to 0% and Paula Shepherd changes to +0.9%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Isobel Smith becomes 0% and for Paula Shepherd becomes +0.9%.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Hertfordshire League 2013/2014' so the adjustment for Isobel Smith is 0% and for Paula Shepherd is +0.7%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Isobel Smith: 76%, Paula Shepherd: 77%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Isobel Smith: 73%, Paula Shepherd: 74%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Isobel Smith: 506, level confidence: 73%.
Final level for Paula Shepherd: 339, level confidence: 74%.