SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Julian Webb v Leigh Masterman (Thu 05 Dec 2013)

Match won by Julian Webb. Result: 15-13,15-5,15-9.

Starting level for Julian Webb: 1,264, level confidence: 74%. Set manually.
Starting level for Leigh Masterman: 1,018, level confidence: 10%.
Julian Webb to win as he is currently playing 24% better than Leigh Masterman.

Julian Webb won all of the games and 63% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 67% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Julian Webb played 67% better than Leigh Masterman in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Julian Webb actually played at a level of 1,464 and Leigh Masterman at a level of 879. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 16% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 14% and 14% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Julian Webb changes to +1.9% and Leigh Masterman changes to -14%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Julian Webb becomes +1.7% and for Leigh Masterman becomes -8.4%.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Hertfordshire League 2013/2014' so the adjustment for Julian Webb is +1.3% and for Leigh Masterman is -6.2%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Julian Webb: 86%, Leigh Masterman: 32%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Julian Webb: 74%, Leigh Masterman: 27%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Julian Webb: 1,279, level confidence: 74%.
Final level for Leigh Masterman: 957, level confidence: 27%.