SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Andrew Taylor v Charles Yerrell (Thu 12 Dec 2013)

Match won by Andrew Taylor. Result: 8-11,11-0,11-0,11-0.

Starting level for Andrew Taylor: 3,706, level confidence: 77%. Set manually.
Starting level for Charles Yerrell: 3,579, level confidence: 73%. Set manually.
Andrew Taylor to win as he is currently playing 4% better than Charles Yerrell.

Andrew Taylor won 75% of the games and 79% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 273% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Andrew Taylor played 107% better than Charles Yerrell in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Andrew Taylor actually played at a level of 5,237 and Charles Yerrell at a level of 2,533. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 41% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Andrew Taylor changes to +38% and Charles Yerrell changes to -40%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Andrew Taylor becomes +11.9% and for Charles Yerrell becomes -13%.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Hertfordshire League 2013/2014' so the adjustment for Andrew Taylor is +8.9% and for Charles Yerrell is -9.2%.

Apply limits to the amount of change for a single match which are based on player level, level confidence and time since last match so that Charles Yerrell is limited to -5% level change. In general a player's level won't go up by more than 10% or drop more than 5% if they've played in the last 7 days but those limits are relaxed if their previous match was further back.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Andrew Taylor: 88%, Charles Yerrell: 86%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Andrew Taylor: 62%, Charles Yerrell: 61%.

A final adjustment of +0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Andrew Taylor: 4,031, level confidence: 62%.
Final level for Charles Yerrell: 3,420, level confidence: 61%.