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Nev Rimes v Arnie Englander (Thu 12 Dec 2013)

Match won by Nev Rimes. Result: 15-8,15-11,15-9.

Starting level for Nev Rimes: 1,694, level confidence: 71%. Set manually.
Starting level for Arnie Englander: 1,055, level confidence: 30%.
Nev Rimes to win as he is currently playing 61% better than Arnie Englander.

Nev Rimes won all of the games and 62% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 61% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Nev Rimes played 61% better than Arnie Englander in this match.

There is no adjustment needed for this match. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 0% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0%.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Nev Rimes changes to 0% and Arnie Englander changes to 0%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Nev Rimes: 85%, Arnie Englander: 55%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Nev Rimes: 85%, Arnie Englander: 55%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Nev Rimes: 1,692, level confidence: 85%.
Final level for Arnie Englander: 1,053, level confidence: 55%.