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Tom Lo v Hanro Vijoen (Tue 21 Jan 2014)

Match won by Tom Lo. Result: 15-12,15-11,15-7.

Starting level for Tom Lo: 3,280, level confidence: 79%. Set manually.
Starting level for Hanro Vijoen: 2,050, level confidence: 34%.
Tom Lo to win as he is currently playing 60% better than Hanro Vijoen.

Tom Lo won all of the games and 60% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 50% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Tom Lo played 52% better than Hanro Vijoen in this match.

In this case, Tom Lo played at level 3,109 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Hanro Vijoen is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Tom Lo: 89%, Hanro Vijoen: 58%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Tom Lo: 87%, Hanro Vijoen: 56%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Tom Lo: 3,275, level confidence: 87%.
Final level for Hanro Vijoen: 2,047, level confidence: 56%.